Skip to content
howsure
Developers
My work

Prediction-market research for agents and people

Understand the contract. Keep the evidence.

Give your agent the exact conditions, source evidence and cost of your size. Save the basis, then return to see what changed. Inspect the same evidence here.

Read the contract and collect available source evidence. No sign-in required.

Explore markets Use with your agent

Public reads are free. Request pilot access for your team’s saved agent workflow · $100 USD / 30 days.

Try a public exampleDated walkthrough

October Fed · No change

  1. Read the condition

    The October decision leaves the upper bound unchanged. The retained description also assigns No change if no statement is released by the end of the next scheduled meeting.

    Polymarket via HowSure catalogue · retained contract wording

  2. Check the primary source

    The Federal Reserve calendar schedules the October 2026 FOMC meeting for October 27–28.

    Federal Reserve · Source read

  3. Keep the result and its limit

    The October policy decision has not been verified in this review; calendar confirmation is not evidence of no change.

    The fixed Check retains these conditions, source excerpts and unresolved questions.
Open October Fed workspace

Details that change the reading

A price alone does not answer the question.

Read the guides

Inflation · Fixed example

Which CPI number counts?

September 2026 core CPI-U, excluding food and energy, seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month, exactly 0.3% at the one-decimal precision used in the official BLS monthly news release.

Growth · Fixed example

Which GDP estimate counts?

Q3 2026, seasonally adjusted and annualized, ordinarily the advance estimate. GDP revisions made after that release do not replace the contractual figure.

Crypto · Fixed example

Is the current quote enough?

The retained description says Otherwise No. A current quote below $120,000 does not prove that no earlier qualifying candle occurred.

These are dated public reviews, not live readings or settled outcomes. Open each version for its exact contract, sources and unresolved questions.

More markets to explore

Explore the catalog
Browse a sample of the captured catalog

A catalog sample, ordered by market identity. Prices are observations, not HowSure forecasts or recommendations.

Loading market observations…

Reading the captured catalog. You can explore markets while it loads.

How to read the data Open your research library